Home; Models Team Implied Total Spread O/U Opponent; 1: Dallas Cowboys: 30. This is because it allows bettors to wager on the amount of points a team will score. The Packers and Steelers are both on byes, with the Ravens/Titans clashing. Among last week’s games, there were two five-point underdogs or more to win outright. 8 a carry the week before. ) Atlanta Falcons (19. 8 points, and under bettors would have finished 10-4. The Lions averaged an NFL-high 33. Handicapping NFL sides and totals is not a perfect science, though it gets easier to navigate as the season progresses. 3 23. Of his 14 attempts, four came in the red zone. Tools. At DraftKings online sportsbook, the two-time defending AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals are set with a win total of 10. Last week, the Packers implied total was 26. Chiefs. In other words, NFL Week 11 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . 75) Minnesota Vikings (27. This week, we can again use True Score to find edges that points per game doesn’t pick up, and. Bills game still to be played. Handicapping NFL sides and totals is not a perfect science, though it gets easier to navigate as the season progresses. The Browns took a beating from the KC offense, but the Chiefs and Texans are worlds apart in offensive talent level. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 7 and beyond. The Lions are due for a win, and this game has upset written all over it. m. 5 I'm surprised the line isn't bigger on this one, though I'm pretty sure the Bills' implied total is the highest for any team this season. Chargers- 27. Top 5 Team Implied Totals for Week 3’s Main Slate. Week 6 Vegas Totals and Team Data. Seattle is the second worst-graded defense on PFF following Week 1 and in this spot, the Lions boast the third-highest implied team total on the slate (26. Simply put in your bet amount and the odds in any one format, and our calculator will show you how much you would win, your odds in the other formats, and the implied probability of the chance of winning. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc. New Orleans Saints: Their win total appears high at first glance, but they seem like the clear team to run away with the NFC South division. The Colts took a hit this week (although not by much - they are tied for the 8th highest implied point total) while the Cowboys remain at the top. Minnesota has only won by more than one score in Week 1 against the Packers (won 23-7). Sunday late afternoon Broncos at Chargers (-5. 5 Implied Team Total: Chargers (26) Cardinals (23) DeAndre. This chart shows the Caesar’s line for 2022 NFL win totals (code: PODFATHER15), 2022 xWins, and the percentage chance that the over hits, with implied odds at the far right (implied odds, meaning if my model set the lines based on my probabilities what would it be set at). 5 implied point total on the road as a 0-3 team. Tampa has two aging star receivers mixed with untested youth at TE and RB. 91 implied run total for Boston. All represent a team’s implied probability of winning, or a certain side of the bet cashing. 0; Detroit Team Total: 25. Follow Notorious on Twitter! The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, DVOA rankings and each team’s projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Utilize metrics like success rate and. Chiefs -6. as OddsShark lists them with an implied team total of 27. -110. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. I have run the numbers and come up with opening. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Implied Team Totals refers to the number of points a team is expected to score, according to Vegas lines. Here are the most current lines for NFL week 4. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 15. This would be my choice if I could pick only one game to stack. 5 (+105)Current NFL Week 3 Odds and Lines. While the Bills just missed this list, the Chiefs top it once again. In other words, NFL Week 9 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Brady is entering his second season in Bruce Arians’ system after playing last year with a torn MCL, the team is deep at one of the most important positions in football at WR, and they return all 22 starters on both sides of the football. As the season progresses, it will also fill with actual regular season wins and indicate when a team has gone over or under their win total. 5 games. As a. JAN 9, 2022. Favorites are 9-5 in Week 8 straight up and 6-7-1 against the spread. Moneyline. 0 52. Betting on NFL win totals is a great way to invest in or against a. Checking Wild Card Weekend. 5: 47. In other words, NFL Week 4 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. The last. Road Team Home Team Line Total Road Total Home Total Date Time (ET) Indianapolis Colts Buffalo Bills: BUF-7. Therefore, those teams do not have data. 25). m. 5-13. This week, we drop the top 2022 scoring offenses for the top-scoring teams and. 5. It’s hard to find a better combination of minutes and an affordable price tag than Kentavious Caldwell-Pope . FP is the total fantasy points scored by the team on a per-game basis. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). We have totals, spreads, and moneylines. Minnesota Vikings at Carolina. Dolphins- 28. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. 5. Here’s a game-by-game look at Week 2, which began with an AFC West showdown between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night. 5: Washington. 5 total). The Chiefs have the highest implied team total on Sunday’s slate, so you’ll want to use the Superflex setup to get plenty of Chiefs in your lineup, starting with Mahomes. 75. 39. This points us in the direction of the teams Vegas thinks is going to score the most points and, by proxy, the most fantasy points. 5 (-120) Make Playoffs: -280. Total: 50. They’re the Bears, and the Chiefs have an implied team total of over four touchdowns. While some people simply look at an over-under, that's not enough. 5) San Francisco 49ers (27) The clear game to target this week is the Vikings and the Chargers. Unders went 7-6 on Sunday despite it seeming like a high-scoring Sunday. Road teams are 10-5 so far, with Monday’s Jets vs. Green Bay Packers game is set at 58 points, which is the highest of the week. In fact, there are a few other sub-types of NFL totals. 5 at the Rams -5. Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons: 41. (Implied team totals are listed in parentheses. Create highly correlated lineups by pairing together players who positively correlate while avoiding negative correlation. Here are the current Week 3 NFL odds and lines for the 2023 season. Either there are no odds open to bet on, or the sport is not in season at this time. Daily FP is the total fantasy points scored by the skill players on a team on a per-game. $1,000 First Bet on Caesars. Use player groups to control your exposure levels to groups of specific players. Over/Under Points Total: Over 49. 5Nfl Implied Team Totals. Chicago Bears at. In other words, NFL Week 4 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. First game: Detroit Lions at Chiefs (minus-6. 5. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, DVOA rankings and each team’s projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. For example, if the odds are 2. And the Bears pass defense (13th pass defense EPA) is much better than their run defense (29th run defense EPA). Seeing the implied point totals can help you understand which games (and teams) are projected to be high-scoring and filled with. 75. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 4and beyond. 9 in their games this year, 4. NFL Win Total Odds. While inexact, it is one more data point as you sort through your fantasy options. The full-game under cruises in Rams-Cowboys with both. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Goff looks like a top-five QB this week. In other words, NFL Week 13 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 7 and beyond. Team Implied Team Total DraftKings Team Total Over Price Under Price; Bills: 28: 27. Their 22. M. NBA betting has a much lower maximum betting limit compared to the NFL. Our matchup page has you covered for each week of the NFL season. This bet type differs from sides and specifically totals. Total. Implied Team Totals refers to the number of goals a team is expected to score, according to Vegas lines. NFL Week 6 Implied Team Totals: Chiefs And Texans Bookend Expected Points Yet Again. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. PFF is tracking NFL win totals and providing up-to-date analysis and bets to make using our market-leading 2021 NFL season simulation engine. Money Line: Los Angeles Rams (+160) ; Green Bay Packers (-190) Total: 37. 5; Opened: 38 FPI favorite: Rams by 2. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). Later in the week, we’ll get a divisional showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots. 5. One of the best ways to take part in NFL betting over the course of the year is wagering on win totals before the season begins. This shows the implied point total and other Vegas information for this week’s NFL games. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. While FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to open team total markets for Jets at Broncos, Gang Green has the ignominious early season distinction of the lowest implied team total yet. Spread: Eagles -3 (-120), Lions +3 (+100) Over/Under Points Total: Over 48. Lamar Jackson threw 33 times for 237 yards and 2 touchdowns and also ran 12. Team Implied Team Total FanDuel Team Total Over Price Under Price; Chiefs: 30:. If you look only at their opponents. 5 points at home against the Seahawks. The Ravens have covered the spread seven times in. 5 prior to the Ja'Marr Chase news breaking spoiled my week here, but I have two early looks for Week 9. The more we can contextualize in-season data and. Color Coding 1) Numbers in BLUE represent the "elite" category, in approximately the top 25th percentile. 5. You can use the Trends tool to see how each of these factors impact fantasy scoring at each position, but, generally, the more favorable the point spread, over/under, or implied team total is for the team of a given player, the more fantasy points per game that player is expected to score. 0 52. 5. Player Models; DFS Trends; Lineup Builder; Sports. ET, Caesars) Moneyline: Panthers (-150), Giants (+130) Spread: Panthers -3 (+100), Giants +3 (-120) Over/Under Points Total: Over 44 (-110), Under 44 (-110) Implied Score: Panthers 23. The action kicks off on Thursday with one of the larger. 5 29. See odds, over/under and spread for every NFL Week 4 game. 5, unchanged with under bet at minus-128. Check out our new Week 3 NFL odds page for the full picture on football implied totals. Washington and New Orleans will enter their Week 5 matchup with 2-2 records after alternating wins and losses over the opening four weeks of the season. While our Draft Kit is built for competitive fantasy players, we’ve made it fun and easy to consume. 5 win total are a myriad of factors: For one, outside of the season opener in which the Cardinals are working a bit with the element of surprise, I see large swaths of the. The. The Cavaliers are a 5-point favorite against the Lakers when the Cavaliers and the Lakers meet. If you’re new to this series, I project the spread for every game and the chance of victory for every team using my NFL betting model. NFL PrizePicks Optimizer. WAS. Max Bets On MLB Totals. Value Options Week 2 Vegas Totals and Team Data Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. Allen completes 31-37 for 274 yards and three TDs as Bills handle Raiders 38-10. 0, the correlation between Vegas total and fantasy performance is apparent. Vegas is similarly uninterested in the Rams’ offense heading into Week 4. Potential Gameflow ScenariosOctober 16, 2023. The Dolphins have an implied team total of 27 points, while the Packers implied team total is 23. Run TIME (ET) SLATE Offense Stats credit: Football Outsiders Adjusted Sack Rates. 75 points. Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills: 47. The Titans traded safety. 5. Cardinals-Browns Week 9 preview, picks and prop bets. This table shows the opening odds for NFL Week 4. NFL Week 3 matchups and odds Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions Sunday, 1 p. 3 implied team total, which is good enough to put them into the top 10 on this slate. If they have that many points, Mayfield should return above-average value, especially if he continues to. To improve predictive power, high-leverage. Los Angeles Chargers Moneyline: +120. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL. The table above is a historical database of NFL win totals and win total odds dating back to 2003. 5 points and the Lions an implied team total of 23. 5; Ravens - 26. 5 Chiefs -. 5. Get a full year of our subscription for as low as $10, or 2 months for $5! Find out how. 0) will face a Rams defense that ranks sixth in the. Team Spread Total Moneyline; Dolphins +120. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. 5 The Giants finally got their offense going in the second half of Week 2 against the Cardinals , but it still took a furious comeback to avoid dropping to 0-2. 5) Dallas Cowboys Moneyline: -142. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. 5 Saturday 1:05 pm Los Angeles Rams Seattle Seahawks: SEA-4. 3– This game could go either way. As you can see, teams like USC/Clemson have higher implied odds to go over their preseason win total of 10 vs. Week 1 NFL game and team totals and over/unders to bet on DraftKings sportsbook. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. We list the NCAA football Over/Under win odds for college football teams for the 2023 season, with Georgia leading the way at 11. Even with the lowly implied team total for the Bears I think there is a good chance Fields contributes to the scoreboard for Chicago on Christmas Eve. ET, Prime Video. Dallas vs. Implied Team Totals refers to the number of points a team is expected to score, according to Vegas lines. Total: 40. In other words, NFL Week 15 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. The Broncos offense didn't go over 28. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 8: Main Slate Only. numberFire uses the powers of quantitative analysis to deliver the best projections and rankings for daily fantasy. Only two games have a total of 45 or higher: Green Bay at Denver and Los Angeles Chargers at the Chiefs. Jaguars - 26. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. 2) Over/Under – An over/under, also known as the total, is the projected total number of combined points scored by both teams. Week 6 Vegas Totals and Team Data. Chargers - 26. Team implied totals are calculated using NBA odds from Sportsbook. 5. 2022 NFL Win Totals: Tracking NFL Win Totals Entering Week 18. 5. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 2: Main Slate Only Bills - 29. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc. The more we can contextualize in-season data and adjust it for the situation and opponent, the better. 5 in a 6 total game who's payout might be -105. 5) at Arizona Cardinals (22. NY Jets. NFL Week 11 schedule:How to watch Bengals at Ravens, Eagles at Chiefs, other games on TV NFL Week 11 over/unders (point totals): Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 43. Spread: Patriots (-2. FTN has you covered with a full article on streaming QB options for Week 11,, but you can also consult the betting lines to help you make a choice. Games/Teams to. NFL Week 1 Implied Team Totals: KC, Tampa Bay Expected To Drop 30. 5 27. Our team of analysts, led by Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, create unmatched content and rankings to make sure you’re ready for draft day. See odds, over/under and spread for every NFL Week 4 game. Arizona Cardinals Win Total: 8. Download App. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 14 and. 0 22. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. A valued RotoBaller Premium subscriber won half a MILLION dollars in Week 3! Join in on the winning and get your edge with our NFL Premium Pass which includes our exclusive DFS Cheat Sheets, the. 5) Miami Dolphins (27. The Saints won the game 38-3 and were tied with the Cardinals for second most points behind the 49ers (41). Here are. After opening against the Houston Texans, life gets a lot tougher for the Ravens in Week 2 when they square off with Joe Burrow and company on the road in Cincinnati. The. Implied Team Totals. 5 and 10. Total: 45. Remember that half points especially around key numbers like 3,4,6,7 and 10 turn pushes into wins and losses into pushes. By most metrics, Stafford has been average or worse to start the year. 4647 r-squared correlation value between implied point total and stack ownership: After finding the difference between predicted and actual ownership, here’s the ‘value’ of each team — a high value means their stack ownership was much lower than expected based on their implied point total. Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets. Road teams are 10-5 so far, with Monday’s Jets vs. Ryan Noonan is the Sports Betting Manager at 4for4. A valued RotoBaller Premium subscriber won half a MILLION dollars in Week 3! Join in on the winning and get your edge with our NFL Premium Pass which includes our exclusive DFS Cheat Sheets, the. NFL Week 5. 5. 4 YPA. NFL DFS Player Projections. Games/Teams to. And then we head to Philly, where the Eagles will face off with the Miami Dolphins on. 75) Highest Game Over/Under - Packers v. m. 5) | Total: 45Titans at Saints Week 1 Odds. Cowboys at 49ers Week 5 Odds. Three teams this year have hit their implied total in only one game. 5. 5 SaturdayGame. In other words, NFL Week 6 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets. 5 fewer points than this game's over/under. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals for every NFL team. Total. Harris is good for 50-55% of snaps with Warren taking up 40-45%. Gus Edwards runs it in for his second touchdown of the day and the. Carolina Panthers at New York Giants (1 p. Chargers- 27. 5-145. Chargers - 26. Lions at Chiefs. m. 75. 25; Create Optimal NFL DFS lineups using our DFS Lineup. Rungta identifies the best NFL win totals ahead of the 2023-24 NFL season. 5. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Implied Total is the expected points scored for each individual team, based on the spread and over/under. Only two of the six weeks have resulted in league-wide positive Vegas Plus/Minus values. Thunder Dan Palyo looks into the NFL DFS projections for Week 7 to pick out some spots to attack and mispriced players for your FanDuel and DraftKings DFS lineups. See odds, over/under and spread for every NFL Week 4 game. This does not necessarily mean these are automatically the best games to stack. In other words, NFL Week 11 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice heSee the matchups, spreads, and totals for NFL Week 16 below. Sportsbooks already released odds on every upcoming game, including the NFC East showdown between the New York Giants and Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football. Odds as of Sunday, February 7th at 11:41 AM ET. The Falcons have the lowest implied team total this week — and the Saints/Browns game has an over/under of 32. The Kansas City Chiefs currently lead the league (12. In other words, NFL Week 13 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. Both teams are pace-up and both sport team implied totals of 25+. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 8: Main Slate Only Dolphins- 28. 21,. Implied team totals can be helpful in wagering on MLB team totals markets, which are another popular and profitable market for betting on baseball. Week 12 NFL totals bets from Ryan Noonan. Stat to know: The Vikings are 11-0 in one-score games this season, the most wins by a team in NFL history. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 8: Main Slate Only. The Steelers are 2-1 as. Home; ModelsTeam Implied Total Spread O/U Opponent; 1: Dallas Cowboys: 30. Game. See the latest implied team totals for the 2023 NFL season, including the Chiefs, Dolphins, Bengals, Bills, Saints, Eagles, Cowboys, Colts, Panthers, Texans, Raiders, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Raiders, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams Therefore, also in this example, the calculated implied team totals are: The favorite team has an implied total of 22. Josh Allen and the Bills are -10. 28. 25, and the 49ers at 26. New Orleans at Carolina. 25;See opening spreads, odds, and totals for NFL Week 7. He’s one of the best pure values at the position on FanDuel given his 89% Bargain Rating, and the Timberwolves’ 121. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 6 and beyond. 25; Eagles - 26. Spread: Saints (-3) Titans Moneyline: +138. Working against that 4. 5 points. Top 5 Team Implied Totals for Week 4’s Main Slate. The market appears skeptical the Texans can repeat their offensive success. Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets. When these two teams met in Minnesota back in Week 3, the Vikings did squeak out the 28-24 win, but they are 0-4 ATS against Detroit in their last four meetings. 5 points implied for the Texans). AFC East. Chiefs- 30. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Player Models; DFS Trends; Lineup Builder; Sports. Total: 36. The Cardinals have made it clear that Kyler Murray won't be starting for them in Week 1 and there are even rumors he may sit. 75, Lions 22. NFL; NBA; MLB; GOLF; NHL; NFL. ET. m. Week 11 Vegas Totals and Team Data. This often leads to a more conservative approach, especially late in games. This is a prediction on the cumulative points scored by both teams in a game. Burrow injury leaving Bengals susceptible. 5. Click here to follow Notorious on Twitter. Game. This sheet, which you can download here, will be updated throughout training camp whenever news breaks or something changes that will affect my projections. Sports Betting. 5, unchanged with over bet at minus-124. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 13 and. Implied Team Totals Highest Implied Team Totals. Detroit hung with both the 49ers and the Rams while suffering last-second losses to the Ravens and Vikings. NFL DFS Tight End Leverage Pick Jake Ferguson ($3,700) The Cowboys carry the second-highest implied team total on the slate against the Cardinals this Sunday (27. Cleveland Browns On the surface, it feels like this Browns defense should be elite, but through three weeks thus far they’ve been far from it, allowing the 11th most fantasy points to opposing signal callers. 5 total team points. Miami is a 3. They went all the way to the AFC championship game last year, but an early. Spread Points Above Average: 4. Learn how to calculate and apply implied point totals, or the projected final score of a game based on the over/under and point spread set by sportsbooks. NFL Week 3 Games New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Sept. 5. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Russell Wilson leads the NFL getting 10. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Lamb catches 11 for 143 as Cowboys top Jets 30-10. FSU. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. Games/Teams to. The NFL regular season is over, which means it’s time to start looking ahead to the NFL Playoffs! The postseason begins with Wild Card Weekend from Jan. Let's dig into Week 2's totals.